Mary G Krauland

  • Research Assistant Professor
  • Faculty in Health Policy and Management and Public Health Dynamics Lab

I work with the modeling and simulation platform FRED (Framework for Reconstructing Epidemiological Dynamics), developed by the Public Health Dynamics Laboratory at Pitt Public Health. FRED is an agent-based modeling system that has been used to simulate diverse scenarios such as infectious disease outbreaks, impact of mitigation strategies, and responses to emergency situations. I have contributed to a number of FRED projects, including the addition of long-term demographic dynamics, travel simulation, impact of behavior on vaccination dynamics, population-level income changes over time, development of behavioral risk models of alcohol-related problems and modeling the opioid epidemic. I have also worked on the development of a model to estimate impact of interventions on deficits in health care resources and to a model that explored the relationship of social determinants to cardiovascular disease risk. Currently, PHDL is modeling COVID-19 and influenza.


2008 | University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA | PhD



Guest Lecturer, PUBHLT 2016

Guest Lecturer, BCHS 2990

Guest Lecturer, EPIDEM/IDM 2161

Selected Publications
  1. Impact of Low Rates of Influenza on Next-Season Influenza Infections. Krauland MG, Galloway DD, Raviotta JM, Zimmerman RK, Roberts MS. Am J Prev Med. 2022 Apr;62(4):503-510. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2021.11.007. Epub 2022 Feb 24. PMID: 35305778
  2. Development of a Synthetic Population Model for Assessing Excess Risk for Cardiovascular Disease Death. Krauland MG, Frankeny RJ, Lewis J, Brink L, Hulsey EG, Roberts MS, Hacker KA. JAMA Netw Open. 2020 Sep 1;3(9):e2015047. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.15047. PMID: 32870312
  3. Integrating Social Dynamics Into Modeling Cigarette and E-Cigarette Use. Chu KH, Shensa A, Colditz JB, Sidani JE, Hoffman BL, Sinclair D, Krauland MG, Primack BA.Health Educ Behav. 2020 Apr;47(2):191-201. doi: 10.1177/1090198119876242. Epub 2020 Feb 24.PMID: 32090652
  4. Brett T, Ajelli M, Liu QH, Krauland MG, Grefenstette JJ, van Panhuis WG, Vespignani A, Drake JM, Rohani P. Detecting critical slowing down in high-dimensional epidemiological systems. PLoS Comput Biol. 2020 Mar 9;16(3):e1007679. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007679. eCollection 2020 Mar.
  5. Sinclair DR, Grefenstette JJ, Krauland MG, Galloway DD, Frankeny RJ, Travis C, Burke DS, Roberts MS. Forecasted Size of Measles Outbreaks Associated With Vaccination Exemptions for Schoolchildren. JAMA Netw Open. 2019 Aug 2;2(8):e199768. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768
  6. Guclu H, Kumar S, Galloway D, Krauland M, Sood R, Bocour A, Hershey TB, van Nostrand E, Potter M. An Agent-Based Model for Addressing the Impact of a Disaster on Access to Primary Care Services. Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2016 Jun; 10(3):386-93. PMID: 27075561.
  7. Mustapha MM, Marsh JW, Krauland MG, Fernandez JO, de Lemos AP, Dunning Hotopp JC, Wang X, Mayer LW, Lawrence JG, Hiller NL, Harrison LH. Genomic Investigation Reveals Highly Conserved, Mosaic, Recombination Events Associated with Capsular Switching among Invasive Neisseria meningitidis Serogroup W Sequence Type (ST)-11 Strains. Genome Biol Evol. 2016 Jul 3;8(6):2065-75. PMID: 27289093.
  8. Mustapha MM, Marsh JW, Krauland MG, Fernandez JO, de Lemos AP, Dunning Hotopp JC, Wang X, Mayer LW, Lawrence JG, Hiller NL, Harrison LH. Genomic Epidemiology of Hypervirulent Serogroup W, ST-11 Neisseria meningitidis. EBioMedicine. 2015 Sep 8;2(10):1447-55. PMID: 26629539
  9. Marsh JW, Krauland MG, Nelson JS, Schlackman JL, Brooks AM, Pasculle AW, Shutt KA, Doi Y, Querry AM, Muto CA, Harrison LH. Genomic Epidemiology of an Endoscope-Associated Outbreak of Klebsiella pneumoniae Carbapenemase (KPC)-Producing K. pneumoniae. PLoS One. 2015 Dec 4; 10(12):e0144310. PMID: 26637170.
  10. Achtman M, Wain J, Weill FX, Nair S, Zhou Z, Sangal V, Krauland MG, Hale JL, Harbottle H, Uesbeck A, Dougan G, Harrison LH, Brisse S; S. Enterica MLST Study Group. Multilocus sequence typing as a replacement for serotyping in Salmonella enterica. PLoS Pathog. 2012; 8(6):e1002776. PMID: 22737074.8(6):e1002776. PMID: 22737074.
  11. Krauland MG, Dunning Hotopp JC, Riley DR, Daugherty SC, Marsh JW, Messonnier NE, Mayer LW, Tettelin H, Harrison LH. Whole Genome Sequencing to Investigate the Emergence of Clonal Complex 23 Neisseria meningitidis Serogroup Y Disease in the United States. PLoS One. 2012; 7(4): e35699. PMID: 22558202